CN 11-5366/S     ISSN 1673-1530
“风景园林,不只是一本期刊。”

作者姓名( 中英文 ):城市复合碳汇价值评价研究——以沈阳市为例

Evaluation of Urban Composite Carbon Sink Value: A Case Study of Shenyang

  • 摘要:
    目的 在实现双碳目标的紧迫任务与建立生态补偿制度的背景下,碳汇价值评价尤为重要。但在当前碳汇生态补偿研究中,城市的碳汇价值被忽视。从城市生态系统特征出发,构建城市复合碳汇价值的计算方法,揭示城市复合碳汇价值。
    方法 首先利用遥感影像结合样地数据,构建碳储量估算模型,计算2003—2023年沈阳四环区域内的自然与人工碳储量,使用造林成本法、碳税法和碳交易法对研究区城市复合碳汇价值进行评价,分析不同方法城市复合碳汇价值的时间变化、空间分布以及不同碳汇要素碳汇价值贡献的变化情况,并探讨不同方法对城市复合碳汇价值评价的作用,以及评价过程中存在的局限。
    结果 结果表明2003—2023年沈阳市四环区域内,使用造林成本法计算得到复合碳汇价值为5.99亿元~25.00亿元,碳税法为6.46亿元~8.64亿元,碳交易法为6.23亿元~8.33亿元。不同方法计算得到的碳汇价值评价结果差异较大,目前中国的碳交易价格与相关研究得到的碳税价格仍有上升空间。2003—2023年沈阳市城市复合碳汇价值不断提高,植被、土壤碳汇价值呈现波动趋势,而建筑碳汇价值则持续上升,植被、土壤的碳汇价值占比分别从43.61%、46.15%,下降到34.70%、36.62%,而建筑碳汇价值占比则从10.24%上升到28.70%。
    结论 城市空间在陆地生态系统碳汇中的重要贡献不容忽视。虽然城市复合碳汇价值总量略逊于森林等其他陆地生态系统,但在年均增长上具有一定优势。城市复合碳汇价值评价能够揭示城市空间的碳资产情况,明确各类碳汇要素的价值,为进一步探讨自然与人工空间冲突、城市环境变化对碳汇价值的影响提供支持,为提升城市复合碳汇效能提供新的理论与方法,并为以综合效益为目标的土地利用决策与规划提供参考。未来研究应重点关注各类人类活动因素对城市复合碳汇价值的影响。在方法选择上,造林成本法相对不适合城市碳汇价值评价,而碳税法与碳交易法也存在一定局限,未来应调控碳交易价格,在制定碳税税率时参考碳汇造林成本,提高管理者增汇决策的积极性,进而提升城市碳汇价值。

     

    Abstract:
    Objective In view of the urgent necessity to achieve the carbon peaking and carbon neutrality goals and establish an effective ecological compensation system, it is of crucial significance to evaluate the carbon sink value With the increasing concerns about climate change and the pursuit of sustainable development, accurately evaluating the carbon sink value becomes essential for understanding the role of different ecosystems in carbon cycling. However, it is highly remarkable that in the current research on ecological compensation of carbon sink, the urban carbon sink value has been frequently overlooked, which is rather concerning given the rapid expansion of urban areas and their growing impact on the environment. Therefore, this research endeavors to address this issue by proposing a method for calculating the composite carbon sink value of urban areas, which is based on the distinct characteristics of urban ecosystems, with the ultimate aim of comprehensively uncovering the true composite carbon sink value of cities.
    Methods On the basis of the analysis of carbon sink elements in urban spaces, a carbon storage estimation model for vegetation, soil and buildings is established by combining remote sensing imagery with plot data. This model is used to calculate the natural and artificial carbon storage within the Shenyang Fourth Ring area from 2003 to 2023. The afforestation cost method, carbon tax method, and carbon trading method are adopted to evaluate the composite carbon sink value of the research area. Using different methods, the research analyzes the spatiotemporal variations of the composite carbon sink value as well as the changing contributions of various carbon sink elements. Additionally, the research conducts preliminary discussions on the relationships between different carbon pricing calculation methods, changes in carbon sink value, and urban development, and compares the carbon sink values of urban spaces with those of other ecosystems.
    Results The results indicate that from 2003 to 2023, within the Shenyang Fourth Ring area, the composite carbon sink value calculated by the afforestation cost method ranges from RMB 599 million to RMB 2.5 billion, while that calculated by the carbon tax method ranges from RMB 646 million to 864 million, and that calculated by the carbon trading method ranges from 623 million to RMB 833 million. There are significant differences in the evaluations of carbon sink value among different methods, suggesting that there is still room for increasing the carbon trading price and carbon tax price in China according to related research. Over the period from 2003 to 2023, the urban composite carbon sink value kept increasing. The vegetation carbon sink value and soil carbon sink value presented a fluctuating trend, while the building carbon sink value had been consistently rising. The proportion of carbon sink value contributed by vegetation and soil decreased from 43.61% and 46.15% in 2003 to 34.70% and 36.62% respectively, whereas the proportion contributed by buildings increased from 10.24% to 28.70%.
    Conclusion The important contribution of urban space to carbon sinks in terrestrial ecosystems should not be ignored. Although the total composite carbon sink value of urban areas is slightly inferior to that of other terrestrial ecosystems such as forests, it has a certain advantage in average annual growth. This implies that urban areas, despite their different characteristics compared to natural ecosystems, still play a meaningful role in carbon sink. The evaluation of urban composite carbon sink value can reveal the situation of urban spatial carbon assets, clarify the values of various carbon sinks in urban areas, and provide support for further exploring the impacts of the conflict between natural and artificial spaces and urban environmental changes on carbon sink value. It also provides new theories and methods for enhancing urban composite carbon sink efficiency and serves as a reference for land use decision-making and planning for comprehensive benefits. The impact of various human activities on urban composite carbon sink value is complex, and identifying the key impact factors should be the focus of future research. This is because human activities such as urban construction, transportation, and industrial production can have both positive and negative impacts on carbon sink. Understanding these impacts and identifying the key impact factors will enable more effective management of urban carbon sink. Regarding the choice of different methods, the afforestation cost method is relatively unsuitable for evaluating urban carbon sink value. Meanwhile, the carbon tax method and the carbon trading method also have limitations in the application process. In the future, when regulating the carbon trading price and formulating the carbon tax rate, reference should be made to the afforestation cost of carbon sinks to make it more adaptable to the evaluation of urban composite carbon sink value. This will ensure that the methods used for evaluating urban carbon sink value are more accurate and reflective of the actual situation, thereby facilitating better decision-making in the context of urban carbon management.

     

/

返回文章
返回