CN 11-5366/S     ISSN 1673-1530
“风景园林,不只是一本期刊。”

黄河流域三门峡段历史遗留矿山(区)复合系统模拟及韧性演变研究

Simulation and Resilience Evolution of the Composite System of Historical Legacy Mines (Mine Areas) in Sanmenxia Section of the Yellow River Basin

  • 摘要:
    目的 黄河流域生态保护和高质量发展战略的实施,标志着中国生态文明建设进入“系统治理”新阶段。尤其关键段三门峡段历史遗留问题使生态恢复成为当务之急。然而,历史遗留矿山(区)生态修复与“生态-经济-社会”复合系统韧性间缺乏联系机制。揭示不同修复策略对韧性的动态影响,可以为矿区生态修复的优化决策提供理论依据。
    方法 以三门峡市2015—2022年时间序列数据以及调研情况为样本,构建系统动力学模型,模拟不同历史遗留矿山(区)生态修复策略下“生态-经济-社会”子系统韧性水平的演变过程,并对比分析急性与慢性冲击下修复策略对韧性水平的差异化影响。聚焦3种不同人为干预强度的矿山生态修复模式(生态重建、辅助再生、自然恢复)及均衡协同发展策略,量化评估这些模式与策略对系统韧性的作用路径。
    结果 1)无论在急性还是慢性冲击下,3种修复模式中,生态重建模式对复合系统的生态、经济、社会韧性的影响效果最为显著,其次是辅助再生模式,最后是自然恢复模式;2)均衡协同发展策略对各子系统韧性水平的影响在不同冲击状态下有差异;3)对黄河流域三门峡段历史遗留矿山(区)“生态-经济-社会”复合系统韧性来说,均衡协同发展策略在短期以及慢性冲击下是最优的选择,生态重建模式在长期或者急性冲击下具有更好的发展潜力。
    结论 历史遗留矿山(区)修复与“生态-经济-社会”复合系统间的关系研究可为政策制定者提供可执行的矿山生态修复的方向,助力生态修复目标与韧性目标相契合,最终推动历史遗留矿山(区)的区域可持续发展。

     

    Abstract:
    Objective The implementation of the strategy for ecological conservation and high-quality development in the Yellow River Basin signifies a new phase of “systematic governance” in China’s ecological civilization efforts. Concurrently, numerous historical legacy issues make mine restoration an urgent priority. Building resilience, as the primary approach to addressing ecological risks and fostering inclusive growth, serves as an effective means to assess and resolve the complex challenges associated with the restoration of historical legacy mines (areas). This research aims to bridge this gap by investigating the relationship between ecological restoration strategies and system resilience under both acute and chronic disturbance, thereby enhancing decision-making for ecological restoration in key areas of the Yellow River Basin and to promote harmonious coexistence between humans and the Earth.
    Methods This research uses system dynamics modelling to establish casual relationships between historical mine restoration and the individual subsystems of society, economy, and ecology. By analyzing sample data from Sanmenxia City from 2015 to 2022, including survey and statistical data, the research quantitatively evaluates the impact of three restoration modes — ecological reconstruction, assisted regeneration, and natural recovery — on the resilience of ecological, economic, and social subsystems. Based on relevant research and policy regulations, two scenarios — acute shock and chronic shock — are developed to identify optimal strategies for enhancing resilience in each subsystem. In addition, a policy intervention strategy — balanced synergistic development — is analyzed to assess its impact on subsystem resilience.
    Results  1) ‌‌Restoration mode efficacy: Under acute and chronic disturbances, ecological reconstruction has the most significant positive impact on the resilience of all three subsystems (ecological, economic, and social subsystems), followed by assisted regeneration, while natural recovery has the weakest impact. It is believed that the greater the intensity of intervention, the greater the positive impact on system resilience. 2) ‌Policy intervention outcomes: Under chronic shock conditions, the strategy ranking from strongest to weakest ecological response capacity is balanced coordination > ecological reconstruction > no intervention. Under acute shock conditions, ecological resilience levels gradually decrease across the three strategies of ecological reconstruction, balanced coordination, and no intervention. The balanced coordination strategy demonstrates strong effects in enhancing resilience across all subsystems and is more likely to achieve a collaborative enhancement effect in composite system resilience. 3) ‌Temporal and scenario-specific optimization: In 2023, the Sanmenxia composite system barely achieved a coordinated state, highlighting the necessity of strengthening the coupling of the three subsystems to effectively implement the ecological restoration strategy for historical legacy mines (areas) and enhance the resilience of the composite system. The simulation results reveal that prior to 2027, the resilience of the composite system under the balanced coordination strategy is slightly higher than that of the ecological reconstruction model. However, starting from 2027, the ecological reconstruction model begins to outperform the balanced coordination strategy and maintains this advantage until 2035. This also underscores that ecological restoration should be based on the coordinated unity of the composite system, prioritizing economic development while also balancing ecological and social benefits, so as to achieve sustainable use of resources and promote sustainable development.
    Conclusions This research provides a critical theoretical and practical link between ecological restoration of historical legacy mines (areas) and the resilience of the “ecological – economic – social” composite system. Key contributions include: A framework for quantifying resilience responses to restoration strategies, addressing a gap in existing resilience theory. Empirical validation confirms that ecological restoration is the most effective restoration mode for enhancing multi-dimensional resilience, particularly in highly disturbed contexts. Policy recommendations: Advocate selecting restoration strategies based on specific contexts — balancing development with restoration to achieve gradual system adaptation or intensive reconstruction to meet urgent restoration needs. These findings provide actionable guidance for policymakers to align restoration objectives with broader socio-ecological resilience goals, ultimately promoting sustainable post-mining regional development.

     

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